Trump and top CEOs leave a more self-reliant China with few deals to show for it CNN Analysis by Stephanie Yang, May 15, 2026
Before leaving a
two-day summit in Beijing, President Donald Trump said he had made many trade
deals with China, accompanied by a cohort of “brilliant” tech billionaires.
But the details
of those deals – at least on Friday afternoon in Beijing when Air Force One
departed – were vague, signaling a potential shift in leverage between the
world’s two largest economies since Trump’s last visit nearly nine years ago.
Investors, decrying
the lack of specifics, sold off stocks. Dow futures were down more than 300
points, or 0.6%. The broader S&P 500 futures fell 1% and Nasdaq futures
were 1.4% lower. With no firm resolution to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, Brent
oil futures rose 3%, above $108 a barrel. Soybean futures sold off sharply
after the United States spoke of a nebulous commitment from China to buy
agricultural products. And bond yields rose as traders grew cautious about
rising inflation.
The
highly-anticipated trip was the first time a US leader met with Xi Jinping in
the Chinese capital since November 2017. Trump had postponed the event,
originally scheduled for April, as he navigated a historic energy crisis
sparked by his decision to launch a war with Iran.
Still, Trump arrived
in Beijing on Wednesday evening with a notably weaker hand in many ways than
China. The US President faces growing backlash at home as prices for gas and
many consumer goods rise, and consumer sentiment drops to record lows. He also
faces midterm elections later this year, something his Chinese counterpart does
not need to fret about.
On the last day
of the summit, Trump announced that China would purchase 200 Boeing aircraft
and was interested in buying more US oil, as the conflict in the Middle East
had disrupted global supply. Trump also said he would consider lifting
sanctions on Chinese companies that purchase Iranian oil.
US Trade
Representative Jamieson Greer also said the US expected a commitment to buy
agricultural goods in the “double-digit billions” of dollars, but did not give
more specifics.
China has not
yet confirmed any US statements.
Analysts had
harbored low expectations for any significant deals, given the dismal state of
US-China relations. However, the lack of substantive breakthrough agreements
stood in stark contrast to Trump’s last visit in 2017.
Nine years ago,
Trump brought nearly 30 US executives with him. The US Commerce Department
announced 37 deals totaling more than $250 billion before the US leader had
even left Beijing, including a commitment from China to buy 300 Boeing
airplanes that was never fulfilled.
This time, he
was accompanied by 17 executives, mostly from tech and financial firms,
including Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, Apple CEO Tim Cook and Tesla CEO Elon Musk.
Kent Kedl,
founder of risk and strategy advisory firm Blue Ocean Advisors in Shanghai,
said the 2017 cohort was more focused on securing specific export agreements,
whereas this year the group seemed to prioritize access to the China market and
Trump himself.
China’s changing relianceThe executives
who traveled to Beijing seeking inroads to the Chinese market are facing a much
tougher sell now.
That’s because
of China’s success in nurturing and developing homegrown firms as part of a
national push to boost self-sufficiency in tech, manufacturing and domestic
consumption. That push was given a shot in the arm by the trade war launched by
the first Trump administration.
Nvidia CEO
Jensen Huang, a last-minute addition to the trip, has lobbied the US government
to approve sales of its less advanced chips to China. However, China has held
off on purchases in part because of its preference to support its own
chipmakers.
Tesla, whose CEO
Elon Musk traveled to Beijing as well, has been losing ground inside China and
across much of the the globe to Chinese EV rival BYD. According to Counterpoint
Research, Tesla’s EV market share in China fell to 10% in the last quarter of
2025, compared to 14% a year earlier. Tesla lost its status as the world’s
largest seller of EVs to BYD last year as well.
Apple chief Tim
Cook, also in Trump’s entourage to China, is seeing his company challenged by
Chinese smartphone makers like Huawei and Xiaomi. Apple held about 22% of the
smartphone market share in China as of the end of last year, according to
Counterpoint Research, and still has significant electronics assembly
operations in China.
Absent any
announcements of US investments in China, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said
Thursday that the two nations discussed establishing a board of investment for
Chinese investment in non-sensitive sectors in the US. U.S. He said there was
also talk of setting up a board of trade that could facilitate the repeal of
some tariffs on about $30 billion of goods.
But Trump said
the subject of tariffs didn’t even come up during his negotiations with Xi
Analysts said
that the two countries may also finalize more deals in the coming days, including
for US agricultural and energy exports.
“For the meeting
to be deemed a success by Trump’s rural constituents, the hope remains that
China this week will announce further multi-year mega US U.S. agriculture
purchases, including corn and meat, while confirming soybean purchasing
commitments made last October,” wrote Wendy Cutler, senior vice president at
Asia Society Policy Institute.
But even signed
statements could take months to materialize, if at all.
According to
Leah Fahy, senior China economist at Capital Economics, several projects
announced in 2017 never materialized, including an $84 billion investment in
shale gas development and chemical manufacturing in West Virginia, and a $43
billion investment in facilities in Alaska to liquefy and export natural gas.
“A look back to
Trump’s last visit to China highlights why any headline deals should be looked
at with a healthy degree of scepticism,” Fahy wrote.
Ultimately, China’s economy needs the US less than before– and that seems to include its biggest businesses as well.
CNN Analysis by Stephanie Yang, May 15, 2026
Comments
Post a Comment